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Survey shows output up but so are costs

18 Aug 14 The latest Construction Trade Survey, published today, show that activity rose in the second quarter of 2014 across all areas of construction, including building contractors, specialist contractors, civil engineers and product manufacturers.

Future growth, however, may be put at risk by rising costs, as many contractors are still working on projects won at low prices. Cost inflation since winning these jobs has eroded expected profit margins in many cases.

Commenting on the survey, Construction Products Association economics director Noble Francis said:  “Firms across construction reported rises in output during Q2 and the majority of the industry is expecting activity to rise over the next 12-18 months.

“Unsurprisingly, private new housing was the key driver of construction activity.  On balance, 41% of contractors reported that private housing output rose in Q2 compared with a year ago.  The largest construction sector, private commercial, also enjoyed an increase in activity with 37% of contractors reporting that commercial output rose in Q2 compared with a year ago.  In addition, 46% of building contractors reported that work in publicly-funded education and health construction saw a return to growth, reflecting the recovery in capital investment in 2014/15 with less than a year to go to the next election. 

“Tender prices rose in Q2.  Many major contractors are still working on projects won in 2013 at relatively low prices but have been suffering from the key concerns of rising costs and skills availability, especially in specific sectors such as private new housing.  Overall, 80% of building contractors reported, on balance, that costs rose over the past year; 95% reported that materials costs rose over the past year and 75% reported that labour costs rose over the past year.  In terms of skills, 47% of building contractors reported that bricklayers and carpenters were difficult to recruit.”

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Key survey findings for Q2 include:

  • 41% of building contractors reported that private housing output was higher than a year ago;

  • 46% of building contractor firms reported public non-housing (education and health) output was higher than a year ago;

  • 37% of building contractors reported that private commercial output was higher than a year ago;

  • 58% of firms reported tender prices were higher than a year ago;

  • 80% of building contractors reported that total costs were higher than a year ago;

  • 95% of building contractors reported materials costs were higher than a year ago;

  • 75% of firms reported that labour costs were higher than a year ago;

  • Profit margins rose for the first time since the financial crisis six years ago (according to 5% of building contractors);

  • 14% of specialist contractors reported being paid within 30 days, the highest recorded

  • 47% of building contractors reported difficulty recruiting bricklayers and carpenters.

The Construction Trade Survey takes data every quarter from six industry trade associations: Construction Products Association; Civil Engineering Contractors Association; National Federation of Builders; Federation of Master Builders; National Specialist Contractors Council; and UK Contractors Group.

UKCG director Stephen Ratcliffe said:  “There are some mixed signals in these results showing that there is some way to go before full recovery in the sector.  As we move towards the general election next year, UKCG will continue to stress to politicians on all sides of the political divide the need for a visible public sector pipeline of infrastructure investment and a steady flow of new projects."

National Federation of Builders chief executive Richard Beresford said:  “The good news is construction output is rising.  However, higher tender prices, materials and labour costs and difficulty in securing skilled labour at reasonable cost all highlight the fragility of this recovery.  Longer term institutional investment and more easily accessible finance options for the industry would go some way to securing stable, sustainable growth.”

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